CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Acend (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc247834c1d872271b447adabc322efa8cc8f0fba29c885a392f1099d75a3341c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acendof FORZE Reload, Acend
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7abc…9ff7backed FORZE Reload | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Acend | 75c | 426.59$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.36 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FORZE Reload | 50c | 360.56$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.28 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Acend | 50c | 295.56$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.78 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2752backed FORZE Reload | 17c | 290$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FORZE Reload | 6c | 245.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed FORZE Reload | 25c | 225.36$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…8a1dbacked Acend | 73c | 178.79$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2489…60f1backed FORZE Reload | 28c | 128.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…a7ecbacked FORZE Reload | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42e4…0b1fbacked Acend | 79c | 85.63$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e45…c80fbacked Acend | 73c | 81.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FORZE Reload | 20c | 76.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked FORZE Reload | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ce…9a42backed FORZE Reload | 33c | 48.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed FORZE Reload | 42c | 47.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked FORZE Reload | 42c | 47.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…bc0dbacked Acend | 75c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Acend | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 126 | 69%87 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…935ebacked Acend | 70c | 38.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4c…77bdbacked FORZE Reload | 37c | 35.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9e…a8adbacked Acend | 73c | 30.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…850bbacked Acend | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Acend | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba87…bc76backed Acend | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb4…ed8abacked Acend | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3a…f3d9backed Acend | 78c | 19.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.