Tennis · resolved market
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Oldenzaal (Netherlands), clay: Richard Antoni vs Daniel Verbeek
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc24a945ec03a9701ae7a3dde7c69a8bc5b15b3c89b9763dcbf0e89a9e145633a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daniel Verbeekof Richard Antoni, Daniel Verbeek
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Richard Antoni | 33c | 3,978$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.64 | 9,267 | 36.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L | -199.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Daniel Verbeek | 76c | 2,968$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.11 | 11,877 | 43.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L | +19.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Daniel Verbeek | 63c | 2,407$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.83 | 1,750 | 50.2%878 W · 872 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Richard Antoni | 26c | 1,772$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.8 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Richard Antoni | 12c | 1,737$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.44 | 1,150 | 45.4%522 W · 628 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Daniel Verbeek | 54c | 1,481$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.48 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Daniel Verbeek | 71c | 840.51$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.31 | 553 | 51.9%287 W · 266 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Daniel Verbeek | 58c | 636.51$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.02 | 1,856 | 46.8%868 W · 988 L | -55.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked Daniel Verbeek | 57c | 618.25$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.85 | 113 | 61.9%70 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Richard Antoni | 21c | 587.32$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.07 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Richard Antoni | 27c | 422.24$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.41 | 8,127 | 50.8%4,126 W · 4,001 L | +84.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Richard Antoni | 48c | 297.2$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.88 | 373 | 57.6%215 W · 158 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Richard Antoni | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Richard Antoni | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,487 | 45.1%671 W · 816 L | +43.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Richard Antoni | 21c | 215.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Richard Antoni | 20c | 190.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 992 | 55.9%555 W · 437 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Richard Antoni | 43c | 184.28$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.91 | 617 | 46.2%285 W · 332 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Richard Antoni | 21c | 174.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Richard Antoni | 21c | 123.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 3,303 | 40.2%1,329 W · 1,974 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfca0…2247backed Daniel Verbeek | 65c | 121.91$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Richard Antoni | 35c | 120.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 3,776 | 42.6%1,608 W · 2,168 L | -44.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Daniel Verbeek | 59c | 118.84$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 3,952 | 55.1%2,176 W · 1,776 L | +107.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Richard Antoni | 20c | 114.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 564 | 56.9%321 W · 243 L | +17.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Richard Antoni | 26c | 92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 1,104 | 49.7%549 W · 555 L | +46.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Daniel Verbeek | 64c | 86.92$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 6,584 | 54.4%3,584 W · 3,000 L | +286.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Daniel Verbeek | 66c | 75.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 1,109 | 48%532 W · 577 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Richard Antoni | 30c | 64.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 577 | 36.7%212 W · 365 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Richard Antoni | 23c | 60.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 379 | 49.6%188 W · 191 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Daniel Verbeek | 57c | 57.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 498 | 67.1%334 W · 164 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…1012backed Daniel Verbeek | 77c | 51.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Richard Antoni | 28c | 45.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 843 | 57.3%483 W · 360 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2b…dd4abacked Daniel Verbeek | 80c | 34.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Daniel Verbeek | 73c | 33.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 2,076 | 52.9%1,099 W · 977 L | +33.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…ea93backed Daniel Verbeek | 80c | 22.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Daniel Verbeek | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1,324 | 64.7%857 W · 467 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.