Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kilmarnock FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc24c017414c6a9ccea8606db22f1aa9a9c221596044b42cbb0703b4fafaf1f12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,343 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 18c | 1,250$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.95 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 32c | 387.87$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.25 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 66c | 294.12$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 55c | 141.72$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.44 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 44c | 125$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 55c | 95.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 18c | 87.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e6…e7d8backed Under | 72c | 77.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 45c | 49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…c5dfbacked Under | 47c | 42.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Over | 56c | 34.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Over | 38c | 34.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 50c | 23.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 45c | 23.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…e8d5backed Under | 64c | 17.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kilmarnock FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Kilmarnock FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kilmarnock FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.