TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Tennessee State Tigers vs. UNC Asheville Bulldogs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tennessee State Tigersof Tennessee State Tigers, UNC Asheville Bulldogs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,728
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,753

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,728 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc7fe…aff8backed Tennessee State Tigers50c585$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.49887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.40per pick47cpaid+487.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x56ca…cb77backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs50c500$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs6c206.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.027119.7%14 W · 57 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-34.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs72c119.31$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x751a…9ea1backed Tennessee State Tigers48c105$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.052085%17 W · 3 L+9.4wins+0.47per pick38cpaid+463.6%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Tennessee State Tigers39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7c…187bbacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ef…6f22backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Tennessee State Tigers46c86.94$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9515037.3%56 W · 94 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs65c79$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.691,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Tennessee State Tigers38c65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0513343.6%58 W · 75 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Tennessee State Tigers27c56.62$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.333,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs54c43.43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4525544.3%113 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62f5…e043backed Tennessee State Tigers27c38.68$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.24977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick48cpaid+73.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs46c28.4$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.082,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.