Asian League · resolved market
Jeju SK FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc283056aafc76e353beeee94744cf36ebd6a606c41197865a5367f16ac464735
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 625.28$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.32 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 37c | 621.62$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 39c | 610.34$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.51 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Under | 61c | 365.2$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.08 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…5169backed Under | 69c | 266.67$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 31c | 266.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.67 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 38c | 240.33$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.43 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 61c | 212.57$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.9 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Under | 78c | 127.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 36c | 106.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a1…8501backed Under | 64c | 92.25$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 44c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e59…cc2ebacked Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 30c | 83.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 38c | 66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 61c | 65.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 40c | 65.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 54c | 55.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Under | 64c | 46.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40c…1734backed Under | 62c | 32.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5382…8d53backed Over | 39c | 27.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jeju SK FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 2.5this page
- Jeju SK FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 1.5Under won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Bucheon FC 1995 (-2.5)Jeju SK FC won
- Spread: Jeju SK FC (-1.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.