Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Orgryte IS (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2909329ec886be8646a7ee6800636407a25b2256a15ae9eb51f5802f99a67f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Halmstads BKof Orgryte IS, Halmstads BK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Halmstads BK | 73c | 747.71$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.36 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…089abacked Orgryte IS | 28c | 301.73$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Orgryte IS | 28c | 240.04$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x487e…0d66backed Orgryte IS | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Halmstads BK | 71c | 147$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf4…5324backed Orgryte IS | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…e746backed Orgryte IS | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Orgryte IS | 26c | 49.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Halmstads BK | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Halmstads BK | 73c | 21.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Halmstads BK | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Orgryte IS (-1.5)this page
- Orgryte IS vs. Halmstads BK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Orgryte IS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.