Other European Leagues · resolved market
Orgryte IS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a0a406d171ed1505b3d2c76392b9e27e450daa94edaa0479311700621bc50c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Under | 68c | 1,445$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.2 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 32c | 1,385$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.53 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 9c | 661.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 35c | 499.96$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 22c | 359.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.29 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 59c | 299.41$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.25 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd04…c5e1backed Under | 77c | 254.77$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.6 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 16c | 196.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69c…890ebacked Over | 45c | 171.18$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f5…76a5backed Under | 67c | 142.92$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 21c | 109.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 41c | 75.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Over | 51c | 39.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…5368backed Under | 77c | 35.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…34d6backed Under | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bf…2ccdbacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Orgryte IS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 3.5this page
- Orgryte IS vs. Halmstads BK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Orgryte IS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Orgryte IS (-1.5)Halmstads BK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.