Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Public vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Championship Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2acb0674bb7eeb288c12b69bbf9684bb18f7b3d30219133e541f415abc83ee0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof Team Public, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,227
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,227 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Zero Tenacity | 43c | 4,107$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327.19 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…23afbacked Team Public | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Team Public | 58c | 2,500$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Zero Tenacity | 42c | 1,667$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.67 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Team Public | 11c | 1,100$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Team Public | 59c | 340.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Zero Tenacity | 43c | 289.51$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.96 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Zero Tenacity | 42c | 245.05$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.71 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Team Public | 66c | 228.42$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.76 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Public | 55c | 206.9$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.93 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Zero Tenacity | 44c | 174.26$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Team Public | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Public | 67c | 125.82$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.3 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Team Public | 38c | 119.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Public | 66c | 102$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zero Tenacity | 43c | 101.02$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.77 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Zero Tenacity | 38c | 94.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.81 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Zero Tenacity | 42c | 77.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00db…4be2backed Team Public | 59c | 67.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -59%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…d934backed Zero Tenacity | 62c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Zero Tenacity | 74c | 59.46$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Zero Tenacity | 56c | 56.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…3b0abacked Team Public | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Team Public | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b8…3937backed Zero Tenacity | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Team Public | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Zero Tenacity | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Public | 65c | 38.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed Team Public | 68c | 38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c40…7c34backed Team Public | 42c | 35.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…3ac2backed Team Public | 59c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…2795backed Zero Tenacity | 57c | 34.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Zero Tenacity | 40c | 34.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Zero Tenacity | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…a8b5backed Team Public | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Zero Tenacity | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Team Public | 78c | 18.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Public vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Championship Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Public vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 WinnerTeam Public won
- Dota 2: Team Public vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.