Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2025-10-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2c486d00103853aa1199fd5128a31d1999872b5d94f1d0ffedf39d0b0ed1329
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 15c | 2,302$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.36 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 1,694$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.49 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Yes | 33c | 1,197$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Yes | 29c | 701.35$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.87 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 68c | 573.8$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.88 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 67c | 218.71$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.17 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf634…dc67backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 28c | 139.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba5d…d1a1backed No | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Yes | 32c | 68.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Yes | 23c | 57.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 27c | 45.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2025-10-04?this page
- Will Alanyaspor win on 2025-10-04?No won
- Will Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.