Serie A · resolved market
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2d2334be7cbdb42005f3d08d0f8b5877826ba36dd411e5dcf0609a648b9c719
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 61c | 2,951$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.82 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Under | 71c | 2,809$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.01 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 34c | 2,260$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.28 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 25c | 1,362$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.5 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 28c | 1,059$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.47 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcdb…461abacked Over | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 41c | 418.85$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.73 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Over | 42c | 380.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Under | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 42c | 265.21$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 76c | 263.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.31 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +6.4wins | +0.28per pick | 64cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Over | 42c | 240$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…ff1fbacked Over | 25c | 187$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 30cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 39c | 178.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Under | 60c | 46.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 42c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8e…1ef0backed Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5this page
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.