College Football · resolved market
UNLV vs. Wyoming
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2e5ebb70226dbb029bdbee2c9c7d22e0454867ec81b0e7cce62a75e8f0ba4b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNLVof UNLV, Wyoming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked UNLV | 64c | 15,662$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,661.82 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Wyoming | 36c | 12,696$4,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,578.14 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Wyoming | 17c | 6,988$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.41 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wyoming | 10c | 1,969$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.92 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Wyoming | 38c | 1,466$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.43 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Wyoming | 2c | 1,332$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Wyoming | 38c | 1,099$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.6 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wyoming | 13c | 1,075$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.36 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed UNLV | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Wyoming | 37c | 750$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Wyoming | 36c | 637$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.32 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Wyoming | 36c | 623.81$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.81 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wyoming | 15c | 613.81$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.54 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Wyoming | 22c | 613.51$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.93 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Wyoming | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wyoming | 36c | 503$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.08 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Wyoming | 15c | 393.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.87 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Wyoming | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked UNLV | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked UNLV | 61c | 167.15$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed UNLV | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Wyoming | 37c | 150$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Wyoming | 38c | 110$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Wyoming | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…a079backed UNLV | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…9568backed UNLV | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…d466backed UNLV | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Wyoming | 36c | 58.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72b…3691backed UNLV | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked Wyoming | 38c | 49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…21ccbacked UNLV | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…4937backed UNLV | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Wyoming | 38c | 32.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked UNLV | 63c | 30.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed UNLV | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac2…3ba5backed UNLV | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…f27fbacked UNLV | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UNLV vs. Wyomingthis page
- Spread: UNLV (-3.5)UNLV won
- Spread: UNLV (-4.5)UNLV won
- UNLV vs. Wyoming: O/U 49.5Under won
- UNLV vs. Wyoming: O/U 50.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.