TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Spread: D.C. United SC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
New England Revolutionof D.C. United SC, New England Revolution
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,637
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,750

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,637 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked D.C. United SC23c882$200 inLost-$199.7235550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed New England Revolution77c230.36$177 inWon+$52.9898945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed New England Revolution80c177.35$142 inWon+$35.781,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed D.C. United SC18c138.5$25 inLost-$24.931,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New England Revolution78c134.24$105 inWon+$29.533,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked New England Revolution79c127.61$101 inWon+$26.85676.8%43 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed New England Revolution78c64.56$50 inWon+$14.211,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked New England Revolution77c53.51$41 inWon+$12.3197146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x862f…200bbacked New England Revolution79c37.97$30 inWon+$7.972673.1%19 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick78cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed New England Revolution77c34.44$27 inWon+$7.9210042%42 W · 58 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed New England Revolution78c29.5$23 inWon+$6.491,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8084…abe8backed New England Revolution79c27.85$22 inWon+$5.853174.2%23 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick78cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd4…b303backed New England Revolution79c21.79$17 inWon+$4.58650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked New England Revolution79c15.2$12 inWon+$3.197659.2%45 W · 31 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe7e…ce2bbacked New England Revolution79c15$12 inWon+$3.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed New England Revolution80c13.77$11 inWon+$2.793246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.