Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3371bd3239c1fbc20febd6c6210ce4e29988e8d36ab3a28265497a80ab1114e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South America Rejectsof South America Rejects, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Zero Tenacity | 32c | 4,693$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.31 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…f473backed South America Rejects | 68c | 1,962$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.1 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed South America Rejects | 69c | 1,116$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.52 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d5…dc17backed South America Rejects | 80c | 687.88$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.57 | 73 | 76.7%56 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Zero Tenacity | 30c | 596.12$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.03 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked South America Rejects | 64c | 521.05$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked South America Rejects | 58c | 503.16$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.33 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed South America Rejects | 71c | 491.3$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.48 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked South America Rejects | 51c | 473.85$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.09 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Zero Tenacity | 36c | 355.93$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.45 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Zero Tenacity | 29c | 336.87$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.77 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed South America Rejects | 59c | 332.04$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.99 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed South America Rejects | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Zero Tenacity | 27c | 201.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Zero Tenacity | 49c | 190.37$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.28 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed South America Rejects | 58c | 179.64$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.45 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Zero Tenacity | 38c | 140.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed South America Rejects | 58c | 138.37$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 191 | 62.8%120 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Zero Tenacity | 38c | 127.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2555…5254backed Zero Tenacity | 33c | 121.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed South America Rejects | 65c | 115.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Zero Tenacity | 45c | 104.78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Zero Tenacity | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Zero Tenacity | 23c | 88.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked South America Rejects | 58c | 78.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…594fbacked South America Rejects | 66c | 74.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Zero Tenacity | 29c | 68.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed South America Rejects | 67c | 59.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Zero Tenacity | 23c | 51.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7176…c511backed Zero Tenacity | 42c | 48.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Zero Tenacity | 43c | 47.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x569a…843cbacked Zero Tenacity | 36c | 43.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 34.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Zero Tenacity | 43c | 34.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed Zero Tenacity | 33c | 33.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…a696backed South America Rejects | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked South America Rejects | 72c | 29.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed South America Rejects | 67c | 28.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed South America Rejects | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked South America Rejects | 61c | 19.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group BSouth America Rejects won
- Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 WinnerSouth America Rejects won
- Game Handicap: SAR (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5)South America Rejects won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.