Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd15ad2ed41d555f327f801287962ff859e87ede5c2e903558395549a71f403db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South America Rejectsof South America Rejects, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef18…ea40backed Zero Tenacity | 13c | 2,259$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.53 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed South America Rejects | 67c | 2,123$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.71 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed South America Rejects | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Zero Tenacity | 32c | 1,481$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.47 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6139backed Zero Tenacity | 30c | 1,277$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.2 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf445…703ebacked Zero Tenacity | 30c | 1,259$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.31 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Zero Tenacity | 27c | 999.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Zero Tenacity | 25c | 991.27$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.53 | 692 | 35.3%244 W · 448 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Zero Tenacity | 23c | 815.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.61 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed South America Rejects | 70c | 594.61$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked South America Rejects | 70c | 565.54$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.39 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked South America Rejects | 76c | 525.18$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.95 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Zero Tenacity | 30c | 515.81$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.74 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1198…3ba5backed South America Rejects | 75c | 503.98$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed South America Rejects | 70c | 501$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.3 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…a57ebacked South America Rejects | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Zero Tenacity | 29c | 481.89$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.78 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed South America Rejects | 67c | 460.84$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.08 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked South America Rejects | 74c | 431.9$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.29 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked South America Rejects | 74c | 416.7$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Zero Tenacity | 30c | 373.97$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.19 | 395 | 59%233 W · 162 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed South America Rejects | 77c | 326.73$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.3 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde5…d1acbacked Zero Tenacity | 31c | 313.4$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed South America Rejects | 73c | 306.59$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.53 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Zero Tenacity | 29c | 297.65$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.32 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed South America Rejects | 73c | 296.09$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.64 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed South America Rejects | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Zero Tenacity | 18c | 246.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…7adebacked Zero Tenacity | 31c | 219.52$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Zero Tenacity | 29c | 208.93$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Zero Tenacity | 30c | 207.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.27 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e5…74f7backed Zero Tenacity | 32c | 181.91$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292d…1321backed Zero Tenacity | 30c | 162.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d03…38ddbacked South America Rejects | 72c | 154.32$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a5…d074backed Zero Tenacity | 17c | 153.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked South America Rejects | 74c | 135.85$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 535 | 58.9%315 W · 220 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Zero Tenacity | 32c | 120.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed South America Rejects | 69c | 105$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…b2f5backed Zero Tenacity | 30c | 102.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed South America Rejects | 76c | 102.1$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Zero Tenacity | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Zero Tenacity | 28c | 88.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7894…7b9dbacked Zero Tenacity | 31c | 87.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed South America Rejects | 73c | 78.44$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 1,255 | 49.6%623 W · 632 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed South America Rejects | 70c | 66.79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 105 | 71.4%75 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…a696backed Zero Tenacity | 29c | 64.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200c…3ad8backed South America Rejects | 74c | 61.19$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked South America Rejects | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed South America Rejects | 71c | 57.61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked South America Rejects | 69c | 48.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…f71ebacked South America Rejects | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -4.4wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x153f…6eabbacked South America Rejects | 73c | 39.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed South America Rejects | 70c | 19.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked South America Rejects | 74c | 19.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked South America Rejects | 74c | 16.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d8…0573backed South America Rejects | 73c | 15.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aeb…7242backed South America Rejects | 73c | 15.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…583bbacked South America Rejects | 73c | 14.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 WinnerSouth America Rejects won
- Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 WinnerSouth America Rejects won
- Game Handicap: SAR (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5)South America Rejects won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.