CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc37019b9bc1914e10920f775e40928bd31d0dfd7439ebab78192668e960f3477
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof PARIVISION, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0900…3e1dbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 10,700$6,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,494 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…9b1abacked PARIVISION | 42c | 10,700$4,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,494 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed PARIVISION | 32c | 4,247$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.17 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 2,513$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.41 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Aurora Gaming | 68c | 1,575$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.48 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked PARIVISION | 35c | 171.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.21 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 120.59$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Aurora Gaming | 68c | 117.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed PARIVISION | 46c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa695…c8a4backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 36.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -6.7wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -28%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…cbdabacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 36.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed PARIVISION | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5820…007bbacked Aurora Gaming | 53c | 28.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…990abacked PARIVISION | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 17.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-InPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs PARIVISION - Map 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs PARIVISION - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.