CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs BIG Academy - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3a1171b012f0490ec3583bd96844698ef220c712c81390fcba0f654ee2c3a4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fire Flux Esportsof Fire Flux Esports, BIG Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,746
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,746 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x928a…8044backed BIG Academy | 37c | 1,812$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.06 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Fire Flux Esports | 64c | 1,497$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.43 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Fire Flux Esports | 50c | 1,390$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.02 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked BIG Academy | 41c | 1,092$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.37 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fire Flux Esports | 47c | 829.27$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.88 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed BIG Academy | 36c | 775.3$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.08 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…b031backed BIG Academy | 54c | 665.48$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.36 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Fire Flux Esports | 59c | 600$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Fire Flux Esports | 57c | 295.16$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.16 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…3f5fbacked BIG Academy | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 236 | 53.4%126 W · 110 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BIG Academy | 61c | 136$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.94 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked BIG Academy | 65c | 79.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Fire Flux Esports | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fire Flux Esports | 43c | 57.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed BIG Academy | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed BIG Academy | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -14.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x39a9…c69ebacked BIG Academy | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fire Flux Esports | 58c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs BIG Academy - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs BIG Academy (BO3) - United21 PlayoffsFire Flux Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs BIG Academy - Map 1 WinnerBIG Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.