CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs BIG Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x220d56eed33384dbf0522a626a5b3e80617231743b4b73d1052ad69e1cf27fb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fire Flux Esportsof Fire Flux Esports, BIG Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x928a…8044backed BIG Academy | 68c | 3,421$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.51 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…251cbacked BIG Academy | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.99 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fire Flux Esports | 33c | 2,839$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.94 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked BIG Academy | 52c | 2,719$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.56 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Fire Flux Esports | 43c | 2,414$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.5 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Fire Flux Esports | 41c | 1,639$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.64 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed BIG Academy | 48c | 1,050$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.58 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…b031backed BIG Academy | 74c | 951.58$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Fire Flux Esports | 44c | 871$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.03 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked BIG Academy | 28c | 690.05$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.4 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Fire Flux Esports | 36c | 650.11$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.07 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked BIG Academy | 64c | 623$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.72 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Fire Flux Esports | 34c | 517.18$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.68 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Fire Flux Esports | 58c | 417.36$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.64 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Fire Flux Esports | 45c | 358.45$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.73 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…ad1bbacked Fire Flux Esports | 54c | 288.89$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fire Flux Esports | 38c | 287.16$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.82 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fire Flux Esports | 42c | 273.17$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.85 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Fire Flux Esports | 44c | 268.18$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.18 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Fire Flux Esports | 42c | 261.3$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.71 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed BIG Academy | 61c | 256.77$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.76 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…a9e1backed BIG Academy | 70c | 224.78$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.15 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked BIG Academy | 66c | 186.9$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.87 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…7a6abacked Fire Flux Esports | 20c | 156.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.52 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed BIG Academy | 36c | 138.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked Fire Flux Esports | 32c | 126$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…edaabacked BIG Academy | 59c | 125$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed Fire Flux Esports | 41c | 125$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd8…8f97backed Fire Flux Esports | 43c | 116.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a9…c69ebacked Fire Flux Esports | 27c | 111.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.23 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Fire Flux Esports | 19c | 110$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aeb…b77fbacked BIG Academy | 62c | 109.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Fire Flux Esports | 45c | 107.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.03 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Fire Flux Esports | 38c | 105.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Fire Flux Esports | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 230 | 38.3%88 W · 142 L | -15.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed Fire Flux Esports | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed BIG Academy | 66c | 95.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed BIG Academy | 77c | 92.59$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed BIG Academy | 54c | 87.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Fire Flux Esports | 47c | 85.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed BIG Academy | 62c | 83.87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 309 | 51.5%159 W · 150 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked BIG Academy | 56c | 82.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked BIG Academy | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Fire Flux Esports | 22c | 79.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.07 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked BIG Academy | 72c | 66.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…9d08backed BIG Academy | 62c | 66.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5283…b53cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c9…e02fbacked Fire Flux Esports | 55c | 62.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Fire Flux Esports | 42c | 60.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Fire Flux Esports | 39c | 51.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Fire Flux Esports | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed BIG Academy | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 202 | 58.9%119 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed BIG Academy | 66c | 49.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fire Flux Esports | 49c | 48.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Fire Flux Esports | 21c | 47.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb527…be8fbacked Fire Flux Esports | 44c | 46.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…3f58backed Fire Flux Esports | 35c | 42.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Fire Flux Esports | 28c | 42.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked BIG Academy | 61c | 42.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 99 | 70.7%70 W · 29 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed BIG Academy | 50c | 41.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 172 | 57.6%99 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed BIG Academy | 55c | 40.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Fire Flux Esports | 40c | 37.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed BIG Academy | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 133 | 24.8%33 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x548a…e58abacked Fire Flux Esports | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed BIG Academy | 60c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 398 | 40.5%161 W · 237 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed BIG Academy | 60c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 297 | 52.2%155 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…ef1dbacked BIG Academy | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Fire Flux Esports | 43c | 30.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf6…c27dbacked BIG Academy | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x673e…b0d0backed Fire Flux Esports | 39c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs BIG Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs BIG Academy - Map 1 WinnerBIG Academy won
- Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs BIG Academy - Map 2 WinnerFire Flux Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.