Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3c0f4cbc1ae472411c8b710763b4fdf76e072a9b0860fc5550e3c198c5e7989
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiN Gamingof LOS, paiN Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked paiN Gaming | 54c | 1,633$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.77 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed LOS | 46c | 1,175$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.49 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked paiN Gaming | 39c | 1,121$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.56 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6139backed LOS | 59c | 828.85$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.65 | 353 | 46.7%165 W · 188 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ce…cc35backed LOS | 48c | 800.92$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.62 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed paiN Gaming | 52c | 796.51$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.51 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked paiN Gaming | 57c | 686.54$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.92 | 264 | 48.5%128 W · 136 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed LOS | 43c | 493.34$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.13 | 119 | 36.1%43 W · 76 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d62dbacked paiN Gaming | 52c | 490.1$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.39 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked paiN Gaming | 53c | 468.4$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.27 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed paiN Gaming | 14c | 409.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.91 | 86 | 18.6%16 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed paiN Gaming | 52c | 251.76$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1e…6b97backed LOS | 48c | 242.26$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.2 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked paiN Gaming | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292d…1321backed LOS | 49c | 197.95$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed LOS | 44c | 113$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed LOS | 49c | 79.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 428 | 47.9%205 W · 223 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed paiN Gaming | 51c | 74.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked LOS | 45c | 64.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed paiN Gaming | 50c | 31.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed LOS | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked paiN Gaming | 70c | 23.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked paiN Gaming | 66c | 19.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 166 | 68.7%114 W · 52 L | +22.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed paiN Gaming | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonLOS won
- LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 WinnerpaiN Gaming won
- LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLOS won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.