Tennis · resolved market
Yokkaichi: Fajing Sun vs Yasutaka Uchiyama
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3c1a14be86240388d1386f45cec0add52b6c758c1e38064dac3ee127c0f4a05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yasutaka Uchiyamaof Fajing Sun, Yasutaka Uchiyama
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Fajing Sun | 5c | 9,356$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.43 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Fajing Sun | 8c | 3,199$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.06 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Fajing Sun | 37c | 3,055$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.6 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a73…e1adbacked Fajing Sun | 33c | 2,991$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.01 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yasutaka Uchiyama | 63c | 1,670$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.96 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Fajing Sun | 13c | 1,533$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.89 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yasutaka Uchiyama | 75c | 1,501$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.91 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b6…4587backed Fajing Sun | 4c | 1,312$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Fajing Sun | 16c | 1,270$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 246 | 38.2%94 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Fajing Sun | 27c | 1,263$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.49 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Yasutaka Uchiyama | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 308 | 57.1%176 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fajing Sun | 17c | 909.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.41 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Fajing Sun | 6c | 815.79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Fajing Sun | 9c | 789.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 483 | 31.1%150 W · 333 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Fajing Sun | 9c | 573.09$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6598…5f36backed Fajing Sun | 10c | 523.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Yasutaka Uchiyama | 66c | 457.9$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.96 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Yasutaka Uchiyama | 66c | 456.2$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.19 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked Yasutaka Uchiyama | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Fajing Sun | 23c | 389.11$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.02 | 572 | 67.3%385 W · 187 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Fajing Sun | 17c | 359$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Yasutaka Uchiyama | 80c | 350$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yasutaka Uchiyama | 65c | 344$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.86 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Yasutaka Uchiyama | 70c | 322.66$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…35b0backed Fajing Sun | 34c | 296.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 65.2%146 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Fajing Sun | 35c | 279.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba3…89cabacked Fajing Sun | 37c | 270.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Fajing Sun | 10c | 265$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Fajing Sun | 7c | 253$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Fajing Sun | 34c | 243.72$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.86 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf25…636dbacked Fajing Sun | 32c | 238.09$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.19 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Fajing Sun | 18c | 210$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 506 | 44.9%227 W · 279 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Fajing Sun | 8c | 209.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Yasutaka Uchiyama | 65c | 205.55$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.97 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Yasutaka Uchiyama | 72c | 174.38$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.62 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Fajing Sun | 21c | 174.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Fajing Sun | 34c | 146.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6249…cee9backed Yasutaka Uchiyama | 70c | 116.63$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Fajing Sun | 32c | 107.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yasutaka Uchiyama | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…802cbacked Yasutaka Uchiyama | 70c | 94$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…dfb9backed Fajing Sun | 37c | 91.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Fajing Sun | 34c | 88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Fajing Sun | 34c | 86.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 228 | 47.4%108 W · 120 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Fajing Sun | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…bd29backed Fajing Sun | 36c | 68.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Yasutaka Uchiyama | 63c | 65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Fajing Sun | 34c | 64.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Yasutaka Uchiyama | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…8aa3backed Fajing Sun | 34c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Yasutaka Uchiyama | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 474 | 53.2%252 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Fajing Sun | 35c | 35.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf562…8f25backed Fajing Sun | 30c | 33.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Yasutaka Uchiyama | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Fajing Sun | 35c | 30.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 227 | 55.1%125 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Yasutaka Uchiyama | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yasutaka Uchiyama | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf97e…aa3fbacked Yasutaka Uchiyama | 66c | 22.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…9332backed Yasutaka Uchiyama | 70c | 16.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.