CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: kONO.ECF vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc437456cc897034c48f9f598757996517fac4e62a8773dc0243ca7b4531efb2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNiTY esportsof kONO.ECF, UNiTY esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed kONO.ECF | 65c | 7,500$4,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,875 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked UNiTY esports | 35c | 5,691$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.25 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed kONO.ECF | 1c | 3,734$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked kONO.ECF | 15c | 2,000$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.28 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed UNiTY esports | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed UNiTY esports | 34c | 1,416$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.77 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed UNiTY esports | 37c | 942.88$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.01 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed kONO.ECF | 66c | 871.68$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed kONO.ECF | 66c | 636.36$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed kONO.ECF | 64c | 574.79$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.58 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UNiTY esports | 35c | 368$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.2 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76d3…7034backed UNiTY esports | 61c | 325.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.81 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f137backed UNiTY esports | 64c | 317.33$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.64 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed kONO.ECF | 63c | 188.9$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.4 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed kONO.ECF | 63c | 152.38$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked UNiTY esports | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbc…5dfcbacked kONO.ECF | 63c | 127$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.01 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed kONO.ECF | 66c | 121.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed kONO.ECF | 14c | 111.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.31per pick | 32cpaid | +359.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6c…f972backed UNiTY esports | 61c | 111.13$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked UNiTY esports | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed kONO.ECF | 63c | 87.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed UNiTY esports | 72c | 83.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc8…2db0backed UNiTY esports | 73c | 82.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed UNiTY esports | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked UNiTY esports | 77c | 77.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed kONO.ECF | 21c | 59.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed kONO.ECF | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked kONO.ECF | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked kONO.ECF | 34c | 38.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed UNiTY esports | 35c | 36.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed UNiTY esports | 35c | 30.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…bfdcbacked UNiTY esports | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…0badbacked UNiTY esports | 76c | 23.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 77cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked kONO.ECF | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.