Tennis · resolved market
Ningbo Open: Belinda Bencic vs Yulia Starodubtseva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc454f6a981ece883752d52ef391b550dfd2096e01220a858667885f9cc3b4a78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bencicof Bencic, Starodubtseva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Starodubtseva | 14c | 2,875$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.11 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Starodubtseva | 15c | 2,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Starodubtseva | 16c | 2,166$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.56 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Bencic | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Starodubtseva | 3c | 1,821$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bencic | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Starodubtseva | 36c | 609.47$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.33 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bencic | 62c | 573.63$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.62 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Starodubtseva | 33c | 557.64$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.57 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bencic | 74c | 331.31$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.13 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Starodubtseva | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Bencic | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Starodubtseva | 17c | 117$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Starodubtseva | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bencic | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Starodubtseva | 17c | 63.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf384…e357backed Starodubtseva | 39c | 51.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3731…405fbacked Bencic | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Bencic | 55c | 36.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Starodubtseva | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 313 | 39.9%125 W · 188 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Bencic | 79c | 21.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.