Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Arctic Pandas - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc456507a6a01908ec7e0a147bb5a7f2ce30a0235efc5df17982b69f2fbf87e63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Heretics Academyof Team Heretics Academy, Arctic Pandas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,012 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bdd…23dcbacked Team Heretics Academy | 78c | 5,068$3,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115 | 171 | 63.2%108 W · 63 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Arctic Pandas | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Arctic Pandas | 15c | 2,750$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed Arctic Pandas | 24c | 1,188$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.96 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Heretics Academy | 75c | 1,121$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Arctic Pandas | 10c | 772.85$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.61 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Arctic Pandas | 17c | 604.33$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.95 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Team Heretics Academy | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…5ea8backed Arctic Pandas | 20c | 253.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…5cefbacked Team Heretics Academy | 80c | 88.05$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef90…8e89backed Team Heretics Academy | 80c | 43.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Arctic Pandas - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Arctic Pandas (+1.5)Team Heretics Academy won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Arctic Pandas (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group CTeam Heretics Academy won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Arctic Pandas - Game 1 WinnerTeam Heretics Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.