Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
McNeese State vs. SE Louisiana
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4aaf4be503f138260a5160a28cab604114a05111910a04ff66f52f64c4df4a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- McNeese Stateof McNeese State, SE Louisiana
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked McNeese State | 76c | 1,106$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.1 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed SE Louisiana | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.81 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked McNeese State | 80c | 356.6$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.6 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked SE Louisiana | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed SE Louisiana | 10c | 153.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec6…423cbacked McNeese State | 50c | 147$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3f…5960backed McNeese State | 50c | 146$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…0f06backed SE Louisiana | 50c | 141$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…9441backed SE Louisiana | 22c | 134.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc20…40f8backed SE Louisiana | 50c | 123$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked McNeese State | 78c | 119.23$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2221…d541backed SE Louisiana | 50c | 112$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked SE Louisiana | 23c | 110.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc439…addbbacked McNeese State | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f03…6968backed McNeese State | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x796c…9736backed SE Louisiana | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked McNeese State | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 104 | 29.8%31 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked SE Louisiana | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdb…23a4backed SE Louisiana | 50c | 94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1a…0c45backed McNeese State | 50c | 94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e1…3bc9backed McNeese State | 50c | 62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa8…6be8backed SE Louisiana | 50c | 62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…9b20backed McNeese State | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec9…366dbacked SE Louisiana | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…c18abacked McNeese State | 51c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f6…1a6dbacked SE Louisiana | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4471…2339backed SE Louisiana | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985a…edebbacked McNeese State | 51c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24f3…659ebacked SE Louisiana | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…a1f2backed McNeese State | 51c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec2…9238backed SE Louisiana | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…27a7backed SE Louisiana | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…ca6bbacked McNeese State | 51c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…c402backed McNeese State | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…4546backed McNeese State | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef7c…826fbacked SE Louisiana | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdedf…b4c3backed McNeese State | 52c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b4…3e7fbacked McNeese State | 80c | 25.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…2156backed McNeese State | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…322cbacked SE Louisiana | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.