Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tauste: Celia Cervino Ruiz vs Ru Xi Wu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4b8a2f1a8e8832765ffa247a1e859476a9b55ac2fb65413a2cac77dcba5df28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ru Xi Wuof Celia Cervino Ruiz, Ru Xi Wu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celia Cervino Ruiz | 18c | 3,249$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.61 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Ru Xi Wu | 47c | 2,808$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.46 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Celia Cervino Ruiz | 45c | 1,556$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.69 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…35b8backed Ru Xi Wu | 61c | 819.66$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.77 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Celia Cervino Ruiz | 34c | 587.55$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.48 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Celia Cervino Ruiz | 33c | 509.48$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.13 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Ru Xi Wu | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Ru Xi Wu | 60c | 283.33$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 351 | 64.1%225 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…a47dbacked Celia Cervino Ruiz | 49c | 262.24$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.5 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ru Xi Wu | 35c | 250$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Ru Xi Wu | 34c | 230.71$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.27 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Celia Cervino Ruiz | 66c | 193$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.38 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed Ru Xi Wu | 72c | 180$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 891 | 34.3%306 W · 585 L | -40.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…e9dcbacked Ru Xi Wu | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…16b7backed Celia Cervino Ruiz | 16c | 162.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 67 | 17.9%12 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Celia Cervino Ruiz | 65c | 156.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.04 | 381 | 41.2%157 W · 224 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Celia Cervino Ruiz | 64c | 156.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Ru Xi Wu | 60c | 148.49$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.14 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Ru Xi Wu | 39c | 125.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.38 | 202 | 70.8%143 W · 59 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Celia Cervino Ruiz | 12c | 123.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Ru Xi Wu | 58c | 101.62$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc221…1ed3backed Ru Xi Wu | 58c | 81.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.42 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd729…7ef2backed Celia Cervino Ruiz | 47c | 44.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed Celia Cervino Ruiz | 45c | 33.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…7426backed Celia Cervino Ruiz | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Celia Cervino Ruiz | 50c | 30.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Celia Cervino Ruiz | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Ru Xi Wu | 36c | 28.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Ru Xi Wu | 73c | 27.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…ffd3backed Celia Cervino Ruiz | 54c | 27.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Ru Xi Wu | 50c | 24.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 234 | 27.4%64 W · 170 L | -40.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Ru Xi Wu | 67c | 22.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.