NHL · resolved market
AHL: Chicago Wolves vs. Colorado Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4f680b3b314c1eb7db35b881b9413ba0030fc9228c589b92f962dce26a945dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Eaglesof Chicago Wolves, Colorado Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Chicago Wolves | 41c | 302.31$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Colorado Eagles | 72c | 214.75$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.35 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Chicago Wolves | 28c | 207.89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Colorado Eagles | 59c | 128.81$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70bc…4e16backed Colorado Eagles | 39c | 89.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Chicago Wolves | 37c | 66.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chicago Wolves | 61c | 56.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Colorado Eagles | 63c | 42.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Colorado Eagles | 57c | 42.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Colorado Eagles | 57c | 38.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Chicago Wolves | 42c | 38.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Colorado Eagles | 58c | 36.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfa…1e46backed Chicago Wolves | 42c | 35.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Colorado Eagles | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Colorado Eagles | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Colorado Eagles | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Chicago Wolves | 61c | 33.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Colorado Eagles | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…db07backed Colorado Eagles | 69c | 29.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 242 | 59.1%143 W · 99 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b7…a7f3backed Colorado Eagles | 50c | 27.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb58f…5c19backed Chicago Wolves | 50c | 27.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Colorado Eagles | 61c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a60…cd53backed Chicago Wolves | 50c | 26.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3dc…1318backed Colorado Eagles | 50c | 26.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa94f…43c3backed Colorado Eagles | 50c | 25.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd3…377dbacked Chicago Wolves | 50c | 25.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bc…f6cbbacked Colorado Eagles | 50c | 24.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd563…63a7backed Chicago Wolves | 50c | 24.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46bf…3e5abacked Colorado Eagles | 50c | 23.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…69c0backed Chicago Wolves | 50c | 23.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1d…2ef0backed Colorado Eagles | 50c | 22.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a1…7f20backed Chicago Wolves | 50c | 22.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7df1backed Colorado Eagles | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.