TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Underground ESC - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underground ESCof Ground Zero, Underground ESC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,493
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,645

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,493 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Underground ESC49c2,275$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.043,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Ground Zero46c1,712$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.341,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed Ground Zero58c1,460$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.3992152.6%484 W · 437 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Underground ESC11c440.65$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.037,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed Underground ESC11c200$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17929831.5%94 W · 204 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Underground ESC45c152.75$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.536,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49a1…41cbbacked Ground Zero66c92.06$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.768770.1%61 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick68cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe8d…8592backed Ground Zero50c62.04$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.953073.3%22 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ground Zero49c35.85$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.415,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd61…ebbdbacked Underground ESC55c22.84$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.31729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-53.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x413d…d704backed Underground ESC67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.62479.2%19 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick68cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf955…6614backed Underground ESC70c19.32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.72450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5324…6c7fbacked Underground ESC59c18.01$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.