CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Underground ESC (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e6ca78dbdc82cabccf762e5644c2482cf366c1404438617d4b1799c7a362655
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ground Zeroof Ground Zero, Underground ESC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Underground ESC | 12c | 1,220$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.36 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Underground ESC | 17c | 493.84$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.81 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Underground ESC | 7c | 468.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Underground ESC | 12c | 381.45$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Underground ESC | 10c | 255.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked Underground ESC | 15c | 170.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Underground ESC | 15c | 162.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Underground ESC | 16c | 139.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Underground ESC | 13c | 114.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Underground ESC | 19c | 97.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d8…e34fbacked Underground ESC | 15c | 75.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…0b86backed Underground ESC | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bb…0fd6backed Ground Zero | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6a…a9f8backed Ground Zero | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Underground ESC (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Underground ESC - Map 2 WinnerUnderground ESC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.