Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Antalyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5608c2e1e4a699ccc58695c7586e6335a54bf97adfb97deb1ce0d4324864bfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed No | 70c | 14,004$9,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,755.67 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.22per pick | 64cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 41c | 6,981$2,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,123.32 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 29c | 3,771$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.31 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 2,485$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.88 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc01b…7718backed Yes | 49c | 2,007$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 19c | 1,699$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.38 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Yes | 18c | 1,667$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.67 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Yes | 78c | 1,654$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.85 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…b1acbacked No | 79c | 1,269$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 51c | 764.92$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.5 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 80c | 746.79$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.18 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 652.52$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.65 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 69c | 600$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 21c | 581.53$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.97 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 74c | 535.53$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.2 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 7c | 526.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 34c | 524.12$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.12 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Yes | 30c | 518.15$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.2 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 513.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.11 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 34c | 458.52$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.78 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 23c | 438.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.26 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes | 20c | 429.4$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 42c | 413.49$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.42 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 77c | 365.99$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.55 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 20c | 308.75$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 306.25$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.82 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 78c | 273.94$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.76 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9d…8ce0backed Yes | 23c | 202.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.7 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed No | 15c | 152.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 20c | 150.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.51 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Yes | 54c | 142.59$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53b…73f5backed Yes | 22c | 139.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.39 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…ffe5backed No | 37c | 136.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…1511backed Yes | 55c | 133$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2246…e958backed Yes | 50c | 132.58$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…f4f8backed Yes | 24c | 113.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.78 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 26c | 113.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.24 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36eb…a9fabacked Yes | 33c | 110$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 27c | 104.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4129…ce4fbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +278.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 42c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba3…c7f1backed Yes | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 22c | 76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…94b8backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 77c | 73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…5863backed No | 67c | 63.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ea…1ff9backed No | 49c | 61.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ef…9d9abacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 21c | 60.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7503…18f3backed Yes | 55c | 50.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 31c | 46.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…dc41backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +176.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 72c | 43.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…8e63backed No | 50c | 40.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Yes | 33c | 39.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed No | 78c | 37.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 59c | 34.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 49c | 33.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 80c | 28.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac3…0058backed Yes | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 79c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 78c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…8ffdbacked Yes | 76c | 13.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Antalyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?this page
- Will Antalyaspor win on 2026-03-01?No won
- Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.