Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
New Mexico State Aggies vs. South Alabama Jaguars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc56191c0e8c1a2b0f9c23cebcf23e287e4cef25edda8b2902317917d803cc11d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Alabama Jaguarsof New Mexico State Aggies, South Alabama Jaguars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed South Alabama Jaguars | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 59c | 1,629$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.08 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 58c | 1,391$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.81 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed South Alabama Jaguars | 41c | 1,101$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.59 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed New Mexico State Aggies | 59c | 898.05$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.67 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New Mexico State Aggies | 70c | 806.12$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.46 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked South Alabama Jaguars | 15c | 637.5$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.5 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New Mexico State Aggies | 56c | 329$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.38 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed South Alabama Jaguars | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 30c | 262.87$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.34 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed South Alabama Jaguars | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…1432backed South Alabama Jaguars | 25c | 157.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.23 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed New Mexico State Aggies | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed New Mexico State Aggies | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed South Alabama Jaguars | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 44c | 99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked New Mexico State Aggies | 60c | 77.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0158…676bbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 57c | 77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed South Alabama Jaguars | 44c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab70…9d17backed South Alabama Jaguars | 41c | 66.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a17…38b0backed South Alabama Jaguars | 78c | 52.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5d…6dadbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 60c | 49.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0141…7df4backed South Alabama Jaguars | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1c…2245backed New Mexico State Aggies | 60c | 38.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…a0e8backed South Alabama Jaguars | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9492…1f25backed New Mexico State Aggies | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed New Mexico State Aggies | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 98 | 71.4%70 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.