Cricket · resolved market
Will England vs. India end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6284fb7a24aae80081bec272035b30ae6b984c1460f8e84e858911079865637
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed No | 78c | 11,709$9,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 21c | 11,348$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,383.05 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 7,936$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.21 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes | 21c | 4,448$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.67 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…33b4backed Yes | 2c | 2,795$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 79c | 2,400$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.52 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +246%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,762$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked No | 69c | 542.29$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.81 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0672…699ebacked Yes | 28c | 335.11$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.49 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…695abacked Yes | 19c | 269.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7c…2cf6backed Yes | 21c | 241.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…de89backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…3045backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6305…dce5backed Yes | 14c | 108.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7b…d1d5backed Yes | 33c | 100.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…6215backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…58d9backed No | 75c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…a9bebacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will England vs. India end in a draw?this page
- Will England win the match?Yes won
- Will India win the match?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.