TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Antalya 2: Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucia Bronzetti

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Moyuka Uchijimaof Moyuka Uchijima, Lucia Bronzetti
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,854

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,854 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4411…985ebacked Lucia Bronzetti26c2,180$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.22,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Lucia Bronzetti6c1,576$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.82,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Lucia Bronzetti25c1,300$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.9946932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Lucia Bronzetti28c1,058$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.411,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Lucia Bronzetti4c912.92$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3625957.5%149 W · 110 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed Moyuka Uchijima72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.444753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab0…b46abacked Lucia Bronzetti29c684.77$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023735%83 W · 154 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lucia Bronzetti6c619.61$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.637,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Moyuka Uchijima74c499.98$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13026541.9%111 W · 154 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Lucia Bronzetti17c441.18$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7562534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Lucia Bronzetti26c428.83$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.51,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Moyuka Uchijima75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10052460.9%319 W · 205 L+0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Lucia Bronzetti27c370$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.92,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Moyuka Uchijima72c357.14$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10042046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Moyuka Uchijima73c333.66$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.361,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Lucia Bronzetti28c302$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.281384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.7wins+0.36per pick49cpaid+71.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x6d1c…f13cbacked Moyuka Uchijima79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633560%21 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Lucia Bronzetti25c287$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.011,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Lucia Bronzetti4c284.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.072,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Lucia Bronzetti18c277.82$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.184,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Moyuka Uchijima74c269.11$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1140161.1%245 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lucia Bronzetti23c222.14$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.148,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe324…9189backed Moyuka Uchijima72c219.25$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2520664.1%132 W · 74 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Lucia Bronzetti23c205$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.961,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked Moyuka Uchijima73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Moyuka Uchijima73c193$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1196755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Moyuka Uchijima71c173.77$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.537,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97c7…dddfbacked Lucia Bronzetti22c148.89$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.614139%16 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Lucia Bronzetti25c119.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3060240.5%244 W · 358 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f41…5c9fbacked Moyuka Uchijima72c119.46$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4515848.7%77 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Lucia Bronzetti25c117$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4337342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Lucia Bronzetti23c109.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.033,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Moyuka Uchijima75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.177967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Lucia Bronzetti25c92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8473745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…d5a3backed Moyuka Uchijima72c89.49$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.066668.2%45 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfd6…05cbbacked Lucia Bronzetti28c84.08$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.774658.7%27 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Lucia Bronzetti25c82.51$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7812245.1%55 W · 67 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Moyuka Uchijima74c80.1$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.722,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd1…7040backed Moyuka Uchijima75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2023256.9%132 W · 100 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d62…8fb4backed Lucia Bronzetti14c76.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.811612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick31cpaid-74.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Lucia Bronzetti27c74.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2090340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Moyuka Uchijima71c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.33,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe17a…9462backed Lucia Bronzetti19c68.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.95425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-68.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8614…717abacked Moyuka Uchijima75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.674269%29 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Lucia Bronzetti25c64$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6897046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa41f…6100backed Lucia Bronzetti27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.211234.8%39 W · 73 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Lucia Bronzetti28c56.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.71,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked Moyuka Uchijima74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137644.7%34 W · 42 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Moyuka Uchijima72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.727,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f28…f1e3backed Moyuka Uchijima75c41.2$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc59f…f632backed Moyuka Uchijima74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.548361.4%51 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Lucia Bronzetti26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.327627.2%75 W · 201 L-25.2wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-36.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Moyuka Uchijima75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1089859.7%536 W · 362 L+2.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe010…a84bbacked Moyuka Uchijima75c39.73$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.93475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe00d…4251backed Moyuka Uchijima76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4719761.4%121 W · 76 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10cd…2da0backed Moyuka Uchijima73c35.64$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.622147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa946…4323backed Moyuka Uchijima75c32.53$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d01…16c7backed Moyuka Uchijima70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cff…83c4backed Moyuka Uchijima72c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8427664.1%177 W · 99 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4820…bc0fbacked Moyuka Uchijima74c23.21$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.144650%23 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb79e…8d77backed Moyuka Uchijima75c22.31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.583056.7%17 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick68cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Moyuka Uchijima75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558067.8%393 W · 187 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Moyuka Uchijima74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.235559.4%211 W · 144 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa488…91c3backed Moyuka Uchijima76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.85352.8%28 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x320f…1420backed Moyuka Uchijima72c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0422258.1%129 W · 93 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Moyuka Uchijima74c17.43$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5315650%78 W · 78 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc0f2…a822backed Moyuka Uchijima69c16.94$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2511158.6%65 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.