Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kayseri: Ilay Yoruk vs Lan Mi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc67d8ea997c75e4a34a75df218b1ad481894a4744be81d33adf069f9f5662577
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ilay Yorukof Ilay Yoruk, Lan Mi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7c2…51f9backed Ilay Yoruk | 30c | 826.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.37 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lan Mi | 71c | 760.14$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.72 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Lan Mi | 27c | 654.15$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.7 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4f…ab40backed Lan Mi | 75c | 528$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Ilay Yoruk | 25c | 519.08$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.31 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Lan Mi | 11c | 450$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9c…cf78backed Ilay Yoruk | 29c | 380.79$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.79 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Ilay Yoruk | 78c | 346.46$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.4 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Lan Mi | 15c | 275.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lan Mi | 38c | 212.79$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Lan Mi | 35c | 165.72$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.79 | 226 | 51.8%117 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Lan Mi | 13c | 165.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lan Mi | 32c | 135.04$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Lan Mi | 8c | 131.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 222 | 8.6%19 W · 203 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…32f2backed Lan Mi | 27c | 119$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lan Mi | 17c | 115$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Lan Mi | 25c | 104$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Lan Mi | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00d…4251backed Lan Mi | 76c | 93.33$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 197 | 61.4%121 W · 76 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Lan Mi | 15c | 77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Ilay Yoruk | 78c | 58.06$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Ilay Yoruk | 67c | 56.64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x504e…0187backed Lan Mi | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…d6d0backed Lan Mi | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 64cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c10…96bfbacked Ilay Yoruk | 59c | 36.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…045ebacked Ilay Yoruk | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked Ilay Yoruk | 71c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeaf…a942backed Lan Mi | 76c | 15.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Lan Mi | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9edf…035fbacked Ilay Yoruk | 78c | 14.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.