CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc681d0e1180d2ea194824b94f4b7276ab6515650a89090e8aab38e23e03d2919
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-MANA eSportsof ex-MANA eSports, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1186…0355backed Misa Esports | 26c | 1,521$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.89 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Misa Esports | 52c | 1,276$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.76 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0c…0e19backed Misa Esports | 2c | 676.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-MANA eSports | 44c | 662.48$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.13 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d95…8d38backed Misa Esports | 45c | 443.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 62c | 273.78$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.78 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed ex-MANA eSports | 55c | 227.65$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.12 | 503 | 41.6%209 W · 294 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Misa Esports | 24c | 202$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-MANA eSports | 71c | 182.7$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.19 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed ex-MANA eSports | 72c | 172.06$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Misa Esports | 8c | 159$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 71c | 147.28$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…2968backed Misa Esports | 18c | 127.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-MANA eSports | 62c | 99.29$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ex-MANA eSports | 56c | 98.12$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 77c | 56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed ex-MANA eSports | 75c | 55.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked ex-MANA eSports | 71c | 54.09$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 350 | 43.1%151 W · 199 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed ex-MANA eSports | 60c | 52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked ex-MANA eSports | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed ex-MANA eSports | 79c | 32.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed ex-MANA eSports | 75c | 32.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked ex-MANA eSports | 57c | 26.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked ex-MANA eSports | 73c | 20.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…24b9backed ex-MANA eSports | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked ex-MANA eSports | 71c | 14.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 531 | 45.4%241 W · 290 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group DMisa Esports won
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Misa Esports - Map 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.