South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Lanús vs. Club Always Ready: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6afe73a2d96fc5a54abe2827e401a0cc3e6121bee1b392321e6795ccee653b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 853.47$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.07 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 59c | 643.06$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.78 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 57c | 431.81$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.02 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19a1…6aefbacked No | 57c | 376.01$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 41c | 303.93$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.9 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Yes | 39c | 299.93$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.97 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 59c | 215.23$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.65 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 62c | 194.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.79 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 40c | 172.85$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.19 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Yes | 14c | 169.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 60c | 165.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.34 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 66c | 156.16$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 60c | 115.7$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 43c | 100.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 40c | 97.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…9765backed Yes | 43c | 96.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 41c | 70.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Yes | 42c | 59.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 43c | 50.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 42c | 32.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 42c | 32.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 42c | 31.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed No | 60c | 30.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 28.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed No | 67c | 20.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Lanús vs. Club Always Ready: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Lanús vs. Club Always Ready: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. Club Always Ready: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. Club Always Ready: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. Club Always Ready: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Lanús (-1.5)Club Always Ready won
- Spread: CA Lanús (-2.5)Club Always Ready won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.