South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Lanús vs. Club Always Ready: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43bb607bf8105f9c528efe3a7e58482627255acfb63136ecf16db541945b8431
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 1,029$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.18 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 33c | 999.89$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.96 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc66b…1435backed Under | 42c | 862.43$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Over | 46c | 499.99$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.99 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 40c | 389.62$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.85 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…defdbacked Under | 49c | 271.98$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.08 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19a1…6aefbacked Under | 28c | 184.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 32c | 169.51$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Over | 44c | 153.75$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 150.46$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Under | 67c | 138.71$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.18 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 67c | 133.76$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 50c | 132.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 68c | 132.8$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 68c | 131.9$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 124.47$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 40c | 121.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 41c | 106.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…ab95backed Over | 67c | 105.37$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Under | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 57c | 97.42$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 79c | 82.49$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 30c | 63.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 54c | 60.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 29c | 57.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Over | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 67c | 36.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 44c | 35.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…9d5fbacked Over | 52c | 30.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Over | 49c | 27.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 48c | 27.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 67c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 56c | 24.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Lanús vs. Club Always Ready: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Lanús vs. Club Always Ready: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Lanús vs. Club Always Ready: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. Club Always Ready: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. Club Always Ready: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Lanús (-1.5)Club Always Ready won
- Spread: CA Lanús (-2.5)Club Always Ready won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.