Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Pohang Steelers FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6d2f480ac38e237ff5106920abaf7c50e0b1c24ac5496fec417ca6238b25ca5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jeju SK FCof Pohang Steelers FC, Jeju SK FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed Pohang Steelers FC | 28c | 1,790$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Pohang Steelers FC | 26c | 511.74$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.03 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Jeju SK FC | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Jeju SK FC | 71c | 493$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.97 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jeju SK FC | 73c | 428.7$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.75 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Jeju SK FC | 71c | 106$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Jeju SK FC | 72c | 78.65$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Jeju SK FC | 73c | 53.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Jeju SK FC | 74c | 52.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Jeju SK FC | 74c | 52.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Jeju SK FC | 74c | 52.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Jeju SK FC | 74c | 52.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Jeju SK FC | 74c | 52.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Jeju SK FC | 74c | 52.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Jeju SK FC | 74c | 52.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Jeju SK FC | 74c | 52.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Jeju SK FC | 74c | 52.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Jeju SK FC | 74c | 52.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Jeju SK FC | 74c | 52.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Jeju SK FC | 74c | 52.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Jeju SK FC | 74c | 52.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Jeju SK FC | 74c | 52.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Jeju SK FC | 74c | 52.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Jeju SK FC | 74c | 52.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Jeju SK FC | 74c | 52.53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Jeju SK FC | 74c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5926…a9debacked Jeju SK FC | 74c | 34.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Jeju SK FC | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Jeju SK FC | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Jeju SK FC | 73c | 21.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Jeju SK FC | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Jeju SK FC | 74c | 17.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pohang Steelers FC (-1.5)this page
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Jeju SK FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.