Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: DNS.C (-1.5) vs Nongshim Esports Academy (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6ec205b174487860cfb4990734267b3e9fd16005db40989f2e164972d54a838
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nongshim Esports Academyof DN SOOPers Challengers, Nongshim Esports Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb23a…0e28backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 30c | 353$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeefd…902fbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 30c | 349$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x463b…6460backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 30c | 278$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0a…8911backed Nongshim Esports Academy | 70c | 244$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 71cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…0bd2backed Nongshim Esports Academy | 70c | 242$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…a18cbacked Nongshim Esports Academy | 70c | 221$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcab…2392backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 30c | 219$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…98eebacked Nongshim Esports Academy | 70c | 210$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…a6f1backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 30c | 174$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaae…d224backed Nongshim Esports Academy | 70c | 174$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0730…a73fbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 30c | 168$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb059…00c2backed Nongshim Esports Academy | 70c | 166$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…cf0cbacked Nongshim Esports Academy | 70c | 145$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76a0…5ae4backed Nongshim Esports Academy | 70c | 139$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: DNS.C (-1.5) vs Nongshim Esports Academy (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff PlayoffsNongshim Esports Academy won
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 WinnerNongshim Esports Academy won
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 WinnerDN SOOPers Challengers won
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 WinnerNongshim Esports Academy won
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 4 WinnerDN SOOPers Challengers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.