Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62e205adcb20568cf0e84fee33d2a9b7a5d76a38637320346bbf4c8141d9e231
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00ac…4747backed Over | 30c | 506$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +205.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…da7abacked Over | 30c | 423$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +148.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e5…5b32backed Over | 30c | 386$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +152.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8be7…a8debacked Over | 34c | 349$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f69…ea1bbacked Over | 34c | 329$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 40cpaid | +158.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…f6b9backed Under | 65c | 293$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf084…ec84backed Under | 69c | 285$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe9…4180backed Under | 70c | 282$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7827…36a1backed Under | 65c | 258$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0a…8911backed Under | 71c | 257$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 71cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd395…b83fbacked Under | 70c | 252$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cae…a148backed Under | 66c | 247$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41c9…4346backed Under | 69c | 244$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe155…3057backed Under | 70c | 244$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7317…bc6bbacked Under | 66c | 243$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe108…04f2backed Under | 65c | 233$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f44…382dbacked Under | 65c | 232.67$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a6…20f9backed Under | 69c | 227$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4621…247abacked Under | 65c | 213$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd67f…0020backed Under | 66c | 188$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…a007backed Over | 35c | 184$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c2…2d69backed Under | 70c | 182$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…6ff7backed Over | 31c | 179$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfd…085ebacked Under | 70c | 178$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb084…6943backed Under | 70c | 177$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14d8…7924backed Over | 35c | 175$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcab…2392backed Over | 31c | 171.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd294…21c7backed Over | 35c | 167$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 43cpaid | +142.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8918…ef73backed Over | 35c | 165$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3176…06bbbacked Over | 35c | 155$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…1ff0backed Over | 29c | 147$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 40cpaid | +172.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14c4…f9c8backed Over | 35c | 143$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0918…2d34backed Over | 35c | 138$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa68a…0487backed Over | 31c | 128$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c3…4865backed Over | 35c | 124$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd042…5a30backed Over | 35c | 121$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ec…941bbacked Over | 31c | 110$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 34cpaid | +200.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…db8fbacked Over | 29c | 109$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ba…ade9backed Over | 35c | 92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 43cpaid | +142.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4832…3c2bbacked Under | 65c | 67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 61c | 51.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…3ab9backed Over | 38c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed Under | 62c | 17.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Game Handicap: DNS.C (-1.5) vs Nongshim Esports Academy (+1.5)Nongshim Esports Academy won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff PlayoffsNongshim Esports Academy won
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 WinnerNongshim Esports Academy won
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 WinnerDN SOOPers Challengers won
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 WinnerNongshim Esports Academy won
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 4 WinnerDN SOOPers Challengers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.