Tennis · resolved market
ITF Caserta: Nastasja Schunk vs Mina Hodzic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7148fe5822b895e024696f2f44b4acd359c6c5f4c32902ae7f67a487d58810d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nastasja Schunkof Nastasja Schunk, Mina Hodzic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x198f…c419backed Nastasja Schunk | 60c | 6,652$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,653.22 | 340 | 47.4%161 W · 179 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mina Hodzic | 40c | 4,565$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.94 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Mina Hodzic | 38c | 959.27$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.3 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Mina Hodzic | 40c | 240.79$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.12 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Mina Hodzic | 38c | 219.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.59 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Mina Hodzic | 41c | 193.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Mina Hodzic | 40c | 160.53$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Mina Hodzic | 44c | 146.24$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.82 | 783 | 50.3%394 W · 389 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Mina Hodzic | 9c | 134.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Nastasja Schunk | 57c | 92.05$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.58 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Mina Hodzic | 40c | 84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 567 | 44.6%253 W · 314 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Mina Hodzic | 41c | 39.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775c…a40cbacked Mina Hodzic | 44c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Nastasja Schunk | 58c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Mina Hodzic | 42c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb2…82e5backed Mina Hodzic | 41c | 24.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.