Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
IU Indy Jaguars vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7292d6ab81047ea6b608a23039235bf8d2e5e5bca635c2bae1e4aeb83c44591
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Charleston Southern Buccaneersof IU Indy Jaguars, Charleston Southern Buccaneers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec13…862bbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 57c | 3,333$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Charleston Southern Buccaneers | 43c | 2,091$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.95 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Charleston Southern Buccaneers | 43c | 800$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Charleston Southern Buccaneers | 46c | 759.06$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.38 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…d83abacked Charleston Southern Buccaneers | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Charleston Southern Buccaneers | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked IU Indy Jaguars | 25c | 155.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Charleston Southern Buccaneers | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 53c | 115.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b2…47f7backed IU Indy Jaguars | 23c | 52.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed IU Indy Jaguars | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.