Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: MIR vs VR2 (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc79b98fb9c66285cc190b8a5044d7627f2fa3ed68c39169791263562cb212665
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VR2of MIR, VR2
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed MIR | 9c | 830.53$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.23 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed VR2 | 29c | 560.14$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.17 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…1285backed MIR | 71c | 523.94$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…5313backed VR2 | 66c | 274$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed MIR | 71c | 205.63$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked VR2 | 27c | 204.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.1 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb9…cb5dbacked VR2 | 29c | 179.44$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.59 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked VR2 | 29c | 150.82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.65 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed MIR | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed MIR | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed MIR | 67c | 67.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed MIR | 21c | 63.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked VR2 | 28c | 55.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked MIR | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed MIR | 72c | 48.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MIR | 71c | 46.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed MIR | 74c | 41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…1205backed VR2 | 32c | 37.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +204.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…7fb7backed MIR | 75c | 25.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed MIR | 72c | 21.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.