TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

ITF Tauste: Izan Almazan Valiente vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alejo Sanchez Quilezof Izan Almazan Valiente, Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,051
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,144

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,051 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez78c1,470$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.0811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Izan Almazan Valiente22c1,283$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.98,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Izan Almazan Valiente32c125.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.281,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Izan Almazan Valiente38c118.42$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez68c102.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9428255%155 W · 127 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Izan Almazan Valiente31c97.58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b25…7a69backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez68c94$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.088142%34 W · 47 L-8.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-18.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d2c…00b5backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez74c90.92$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.515358.5%31 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Izan Almazan Valiente29c84.18$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.681,04236.5%380 W · 662 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Izan Almazan Valiente21c78.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5870537.6%265 W · 440 L-37.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Izan Almazan Valiente32c65.72$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0318666.7%124 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez67c54.42$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8388358.2%514 W · 369 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x301f…e84cbacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez77c54.4$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.430268.9%208 W · 94 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez66c44.33$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.142,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Izan Almazan Valiente32c39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.369545.8%318 W · 377 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb2…ee14backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez68c28.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.148356.6%47 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez80c18.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.751,02554%554 W · 471 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez72c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.041,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez72c17.68$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8923954.8%131 W · 108 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez65c16.61$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8782159.4%488 W · 333 L+3.8wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.