CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs DALUYONG (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Closed Qualifier Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8871f9f3e8466e6060133423e3e6fa64ada45b2e15ae95c014dd64a638fd22c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HyperSpiritof HyperSpirit, DALUYONG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb72…10debacked DALUYONG | 50c | 2,000$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +2,015%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked HyperSpirit | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.98 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed HyperSpirit | 59c | 587.68$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.7 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dad…4e35backed HyperSpirit | 49c | 474$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d1…4242backed DALUYONG | 45c | 454.02$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.1 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d3…52d9backed DALUYONG | 51c | 434$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed DALUYONG | 40c | 427.38$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.98 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked DALUYONG | 19c | 325.59$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.43 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76d3…7034backed HyperSpirit | 70c | 227.86$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.22 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1145…e384backed DALUYONG | 51c | 166$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2448…86d3backed HyperSpirit | 49c | 148$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed HyperSpirit | 45c | 145$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.97 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked DALUYONG | 36c | 138.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x302f…627cbacked DALUYONG | 51c | 135$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed HyperSpirit | 42c | 129.19$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.5 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4e…3704backed DALUYONG | 45c | 123.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked HyperSpirit | 49c | 123$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.69 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed HyperSpirit | 33c | 120$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…9949backed DALUYONG | 53c | 119.28$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked DALUYONG | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8143…760dbacked HyperSpirit | 49c | 95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…34d5backed DALUYONG | 23c | 91.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked DALUYONG | 69c | 81.52$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed DALUYONG | 42c | 71.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed HyperSpirit | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed HyperSpirit | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked HyperSpirit | 62c | 55.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked HyperSpirit | 33c | 55.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed HyperSpirit | 62c | 41.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked HyperSpirit | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x231d…4bdfbacked HyperSpirit | 63c | 36.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed HyperSpirit | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked HyperSpirit | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7465…2477backed DALUYONG | 70c | 14.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs DALUYONG (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Closed Qualifier Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs DALUYONG - Map 2 WinnerHyperSpirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.