TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Minnesota Golden Gophersof Rutgers Scarlet Knights, Minnesota Golden Gophers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,491
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,172

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,491 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0eb7…1f17backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights6c5,656$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34014930.2%45 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights23c2,874$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.191,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights25c1,869$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.1821149.3%104 W · 107 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers77c1,826$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.1812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Minnesota Golden Gophers78c1,596$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.521,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3043…2cbbbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers76c1,440$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.62665.4%17 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Minnesota Golden Gophers78c1,276$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.815759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights27c1,172$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.31,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers77c1,145$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.271,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights11c1,052$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.44,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc740…522fbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights16c766.32$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Minnesota Golden Gophers71c609.9$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.9893247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights23c595.95$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.1155532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers79c587$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.271,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights23c579.35$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.27227.8%20 W · 52 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights21c552.81$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4481528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights24c299.97$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.992,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights23c296$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.082,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers76c285$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.475447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Minnesota Golden Gophers75c107.37$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.662,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Minnesota Golden Gophers72c102.76$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.771,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x586d…fb12backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights24c92.12$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7318557.8%107 W · 78 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ef3…df7fbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights24c90.02$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227319.2%14 W · 59 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights23c84.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3740755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights24c78$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.421,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Minnesota Golden Gophers76c65.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.711,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights30c64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.261446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Minnesota Golden Gophers76c60.5$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6499045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights18c57.22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.31154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights30c50.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520024%48 W · 152 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ec…d0f5backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126025%15 W · 45 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Minnesota Golden Gophers78c37.29$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.260954.5%332 W · 277 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bde…237abacked Minnesota Golden Gophers78c35$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+42.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3384…3ccabacked Minnesota Golden Gophers77c32.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x713e…408fbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers77c24.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.53425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-67.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Minnesota Golden Gophers78c17.44$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.783554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12c3…b054backed Minnesota Golden Gophers76c14.97$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.5913565.9%89 W · 46 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Minnesota Golden Gophers76c13.16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.1682846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a30…532fbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers77c12.95$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.