Lol · resolved market
LoL: FENNEL vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8a5bb5045cff8dbaea4b618c2559b7ccb6671cb98053bd7f3b6ca9455d59234
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Rolster Challengersof FENNEL, KT Rolster Challengers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed FENNEL | 2c | 3,152$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 475 | 33.3%158 W · 317 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed FENNEL | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…4ce1backed FENNEL | 2c | 2,100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 216 | 22.7%49 W · 167 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed FENNEL | 3c | 1,114$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked FENNEL | 7c | 1,010$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.68 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed FENNEL | 2c | 899.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 157 | 31.8%50 W · 107 L | -15.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FENNEL | 4c | 806$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked FENNEL | 3c | 673.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 671 | 15.4%103 W · 568 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed FENNEL | 3c | 652.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 306 | 21.2%65 W · 241 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FENNEL | 3c | 602.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked FENNEL | 3c | 551.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed FENNEL | 6c | 534$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed FENNEL | 5c | 485.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked FENNEL | 4c | 450$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5423…8b45backed FENNEL | 12c | 429.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…99d1backed FENNEL | 4c | 260$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: FENNEL vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: KT.C (-1.5) vs FENNEL (+1.5)KT Rolster Challengers won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: FENNEL vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Masters Group BKT Rolster Challengers won
- LoL: FENNEL vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 WinnerKT Rolster Challengers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.