Cricket · resolved market
T20 Nigeria Invitational Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs South Africa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8dba2966ec1218676a6df06efd432a6518a51cb559bf746f71947f8e7d49ff7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rwandaof Rwanda, South Africa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,410 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a51…a682backed Rwanda | 28c | 574$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x766d…b8bbbacked Rwanda | 28c | 526$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb3…cec3backed Rwanda | 28c | 524$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5540backed Rwanda | 49c | 410$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Rwanda | 36c | 378.04$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.45 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd51…d61abacked South Africa | 72c | 290$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7496…d88cbacked South Africa | 72c | 285$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6234…5b90backed South Africa | 72c | 284$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0352…72a7backed South Africa | 72c | 284$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d2…4baabacked South Africa | 72c | 242$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4c…2ba5backed South Africa | 72c | 239$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9a…a83ebacked South Africa | 51c | 210$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a9…2728backed South Africa | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…0c24backed South Africa | 61c | 163.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Rwanda | 15c | 160.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.69 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed South Africa | 50c | 127.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.44 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27e7…643fbacked South Africa | 62c | 62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Rwanda | 44c | 49.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe192…1e11backed Rwanda | 40c | 49.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +149.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Rwanda | 25c | 47.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked South Africa | 69c | 40.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.