CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: OlyBet SB vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8ddce1be1c3b71bc9875d3354d58a044d4a2a1d777c4e01374f330b6b4d455e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- los kogutosof OlyBet SB, los kogutos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,707 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed los kogutos | 76c | 1,213$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.2 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked OlyBet SB | 25c | 1,086$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.57 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed OlyBet SB | 10c | 1,009$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x178c…7083backed los kogutos | 69c | 585.64$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.55 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed OlyBet SB | 31c | 451.61$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked OlyBet SB | 55c | 443.98$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.19 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked los kogutos | 78c | 423.16$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed los kogutos | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked los kogutos | 45c | 110.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.86 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed OlyBet SB | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed OlyBet SB | 17c | 99.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed los kogutos | 62c | 80.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed los kogutos | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked OlyBet SB | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed OlyBet SB | 24c | 48.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked OlyBet SB | 31c | 43.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed OlyBet SB | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: OlyBet SB vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: OlyBet SB vs los kogutos - Map 1 WinnerOlyBet SB won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.