Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Americas Qualifier B: Mexico vs Cayman
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8ee4d9a7f5a67176fc228396da3d2a846a50d513c24c6758a4607af13ad3193
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Caymanof Mexico, Cayman
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,369 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1346…0448backed Mexico | 6c | 1,907$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.3 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…be0fbacked Mexico | 3c | 1,180$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 114 | 24.6%28 W · 86 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Mexico | 11c | 1,032$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.92 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mexico | 8c | 896$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Mexico | 20c | 887.27$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.17 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Mexico | 3c | 799.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mexico | 13c | 467.35$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…0c24backed Mexico | 3c | 466.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Mexico | 10c | 401.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Mexico | 6c | 400$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a72…62a0backed Mexico | 13c | 393.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Mexico | 11c | 392.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Mexico | 27c | 349.32$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.32 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Mexico | 8c | 155.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -45%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Mexico | 18c | 155$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Mexico | 20c | 152$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…b755backed Cayman | 78c | 147.86$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Cayman | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Cayman | 73c | 93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…c619backed Mexico | 20c | 77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Mexico | 19c | 76.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Cayman | 75c | 61.22$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…2abfbacked Cayman | 78c | 56.92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…ada9backed Cayman | 77c | 39.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef73…7db3backed Cayman | 78c | 30.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…e3ffbacked Cayman | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- T20 World Cup Sub Regional Americas Qualifier B: Mexico vs Caymanthis page
- T20 World Cup Sub Regional Americas Qualifier B: Mexico vs Cayman - Who wins the toss?Cayman won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.