CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Persona Grata (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8fcee72f07a6e480c38733007a81a20a5ab3d1c93d204f2ae72063be1941a6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MANA eSportsof MANA eSports, Persona Grata
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Persona Grata | 34c | 550.74$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.25 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Persona Grata | 28c | 416.67$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.67 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed MANA eSports | 72c | 409.67$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.71 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed MANA eSports | 66c | 371.12$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.22 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Persona Grata | 17c | 326.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed Persona Grata | 34c | 293.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20c5…7452backed MANA eSports | 71c | 247.74$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.84 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MANA eSports | 79c | 245.59$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Persona Grata | 29c | 172.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Persona Grata | 17c | 156.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…5627backed MANA eSports | 64c | 147.05$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MANA eSports | 67c | 136.97$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Persona Grata | 29c | 135.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…86ddbacked MANA eSports | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…ad19backed MANA eSports | 66c | 96.48$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MANA eSports | 66c | 93.56$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked MANA eSports | 66c | 74.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked MANA eSports | 69c | 59.91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2548…17a3backed Persona Grata | 34c | 56.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Persona Grata | 29c | 44.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed Persona Grata | 38c | 30.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1634…b32fbacked MANA eSports | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked MANA eSports | 62c | 22.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Persona Grata (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-Inthis page
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Persona Grata - Map 2 WinnerMANA eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.