WNBA · resolved market
Aces vs Storm
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc92f55b37f1a10987e29a218229e71b645a868e8b50126cc11d8fc7610dc3fec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stormof Aces, Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Storm | 36c | 2,257$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.71 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Aces | 66c | 1,989$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.02 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Storm | 36c | 792.48$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.19 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Aces | 66c | 562.73$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.4 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Aces | 67c | 302.99$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.8wins | -0.54per pick | 68cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Aces | 30c | 255.82$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.64 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…565fbacked Aces | 10c | 154$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Aces | 66c | 118.46$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Storm | 42c | 117.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.73 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Storm | 39c | 101.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.77 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Storm | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Aces | 66c | 87$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Aces | 67c | 84$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Storm | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd4…853dbacked Aces | 68c | 33.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.